GGOALVIO

Albania · Superliga · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Partizani · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Partizani 2-4 Dinamo Tirana

Original prediction

Partizani

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8831.3%36.7%5.4 pts
Draw2.9230.8%29.1%-1.7 pts
Away2.3837.9%34.2%-3.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

Partizani

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Partizani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PartizaniWLDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo TiranaWWLLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PartizaniDinamo Tirana
100.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power80.3
1.37xG1.17
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