GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/11/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Partizani · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Partizani are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Bate Borisov are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Bate Borisov hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the UEFA Champions League, while Partizani holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Partizani

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Partizani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PartizaniW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Bate BorisovWWLLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PartizaniBate Borisov
16.7Attack66.7
50.0Defence0.0
16.7Form33.3
31.3Power35.5
1.80xG1.59
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