GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Partick · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Partick are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Raith Rovers are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Partick hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Championship, while Partick holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Partick

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

41.8%

Partick has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PartickWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Raith RoversWDWDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PartickRaith Rovers
50.0Attack50.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form66.7
86.5Power64.8
1.33xG0.94
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