Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Partick · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Partick 0-0 Ayr Utd, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Partick 1-0 Ayr Utd
Original prediction
Partick
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 59.0% | 45.8% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.7% | 28.8% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 5.28 | 17.3% | 25.4% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Projected Score
Partick 0–0 Ayr Utd
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Partick
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Partick has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PartickDDLWW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ayr UtdDLLDW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
PartickAyr Utd
33.3Attack33.3
91.7Defence66.7
66.7Form41.7
66.3Power48.8
1.10xG0.77