Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paro · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Paro are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tensung are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Paro hold a 63.7-point power-rating edge (81.5 v 17.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Premier League, while Paro holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paro
Probability
93.7%
Model confidence
16.6%
Paro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 3 · avg 5.00/0.60
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40