Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paro · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Paro are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while RTC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Paro hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (81.5 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Premier League, while Paro holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paro
Probability
77.5%
Model confidence
14.6%
Paro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00