Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Paro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Drukpa have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Paro hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (81.5 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Premier League, while Paro holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paro
Probability
78.0%
Model confidence
9.2%
Paro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00