Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Paro are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Al Nejmeh are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Paro hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the AFC Challenge League, while Paro holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paro
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Paro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80