Parnu JK Vaprus U21vs
Tulevik
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 10/17/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-3 (7%), 3-3 (6%), 4-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2-3 Tulevik
Original prediction
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.5% | 52.5% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.2% | 17.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.2% | 30.0% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–37%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.4–26%
Predicted outcome
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80
GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20