Parnu JK Vaprus U21vs
Tartu Kalev
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 9/13/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 4-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 0-4 Tartu Kalev
Original prediction
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.0% | 46.0% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.4% | 18.1% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.5% | 35.9% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.4–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 6 · avg 4.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40