Parnu JK Vaprus U21vs
Tartu Kalev
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 3/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-4
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 2.33 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Tartu Kalev are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 5.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Esiliiga B, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 96% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
6.8%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 2.33/3.33
GF 26 · GA 16 · avg 5.20/3.20