Parnu JK Vaprus U21vs
Tallinna Kalev II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 9/6/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 5-2 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 7-0 Tallinna Kalev II
Original prediction
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.1% | 61.2% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.5% | 16.1% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.3% | 22.6% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.5–26%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40