Esiliiga BEsiliiga B
Friday, 19 June 2026Last updated 12:43
Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Home
W
22
Full time
Tallinna Kalev II

Tallinna Kalev II

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Parnu JK Vaprus U21(51%)
Most likely exact score3-2
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
51%
Draw
25%
Tallinna Kalev II
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
100
Tallinna Kalev II
94
Defence
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
27
Tallinna Kalev II
27
Momentum
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
100
Tallinna Kalev II
100
Danger (xG)
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7.20
Tallinna Kalev II
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Parnu JK Vaprus U21)
7.20
avg per match
xG for (Tallinna Kalev II)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Parnu JK Vaprus U21)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Tallinna Kalev II)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Parnu JK Vaprus U21Parnu JK Vaprus U21
WWD
Tallinna Kalev IITallinna Kalev II
WDL

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Parnu JK Vaprus U2151%
Draw25%
Tallinna Kalev II24%

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 head into this in Esiliiga B fixture in mixed form (W), while Tallinna Kalev II arrive in mixed form (W). Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Tallinna Kalev II over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Parnu JK Vaprus U21 (100/100) and Tallinna Kalev II (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Tallinna Kalev II have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Parnu JK Vaprus U21 to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 3-2. Win probabilities: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 5094%, Draw 2517%, Tallinna Kalev II 2388%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 0Draws 10 Tallinna Kalev II
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
19 Jun 2026
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
D22
Tallinna Kalev II

Recent form

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

W
@ JK Tabasalu
5 Jul 2026
82
W
@ Legion
22 Jun 2026
41
D
vs Tallinna Kalev II
19 Jun 2026
22
Tallinna Kalev II

Tallinna Kalev II

W
@ Legion
5 Jul 2026
32
D
@ Parnu JK Vaprus U21
19 Jun 2026
22
L
vs Johvi Phoenix
16 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II?

GoalVio's model predicts Parnu JK Vaprus U21 to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 3-2.

Will both teams score in Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more