GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 5/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Narva U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Narva U21

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

54.6%

Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Parnu JK Vaprus U21WWWLD

GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Narva U21DLWWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21Narva U21
88.4Attack86.4
24.6Defence54.5
47.8Form66.7
52.1Power66.7
2.65xG3.99
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