Parnu JK Vaprus U21vs
Luunja
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 5/3/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luunja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-4
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Luunja are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Luunja hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.6% in the Esiliiga B, while Luunja holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 96% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luunja
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
6.6%
Luunja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80