Parnu JK Vaprus U21vs
Legion
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 5-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 12-0 Legion
Original prediction
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 78.4% | 83.7% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 7.74 | 11.7% | 9.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 9.19 | 9.9% | 7.1% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.5–19%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Probability
83.7%
Model confidence
83.7%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 8 · avg 4.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40