Parnu JK Vaprus U21vs
Johvi Phoenix
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 9/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 4-3 (6%), 5-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2-3 Johvi Phoenix
Original prediction
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.7% | 56.5% | 14.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.0% | 16.8% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.3% | 26.7% | -9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.4–36%
- 3.5–26%
Predicted outcome
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20