Parnu JK Vaprus U21vs
JK Tabasalu
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 10/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (8%), 4-2 (7%), 5-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2-1 JK Tabasalu
Original prediction
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.4% | 68.7% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.32 | 14.2% | 15.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 7.28 | 12.4% | 15.6% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–18%
- 2.4–27%
- 3.5–17%
Predicted outcome
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Probability
68.7%
Model confidence
68.7%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 8 · avg 4.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40