Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wiener SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parndorf 1-1 Wiener SC
Original prediction
Wiener SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.0% | 26.9% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.4% | 24.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 42.6% | 48.3% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Wiener SC
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Wiener SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ParndorfLWLLD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Wiener SCLWLWD
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ParndorfWiener SC
50.0Attack80.0
53.3Defence63.3
46.7Form63.3
50.1Power66.9
1.14xG2.17