Parndorfvs
Scheiblingkirchen
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parndorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parndorf 5-0 Scheiblingkirchen
Original prediction
Parndorf
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.8% | 44.2% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.1% | 26.0% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.48 | 20.2% | 29.8% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Parndorf
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Parndorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60