Parndorfvs
Favoritner AC
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 9/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parndorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parndorf 1-0 Favoritner AC
Original prediction
Parndorf
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 62.6% | 51.9% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 20.7% | 25.0% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 5.33 | 16.7% | 23.1% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Parndorf
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Parndorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60