GGOALVIO

Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · 10/11/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Parla Escuela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Parla Escuela 2-2 Fuenlabrada

Original prediction

Parla Escuela

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.3926.7%39.5%12.8 pts
Draw3.1728.6%26.3%-2.3 pts
Away2.0244.7%34.2%-10.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

12.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Parla Escuela

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Parla Escuela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Parla EscuelaDWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
FuenlabradaWDLDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Parla EscuelaFuenlabrada
83.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form66.7
71.2Power64.8
2.03xG1.50
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