Parla Escuelavs
Colonia Moscardó
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · 9/27/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parla Escuela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parla Escuela 2-2 Colonia Moscardó
Original prediction
Parla Escuela
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 29.7% | 41.4% | 11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.5% | 27.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.7% | 31.5% | -11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Parla Escuela
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Parla Escuela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 1.33/0.33
GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/2.50