GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League Women · 10/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paris Saint Germain W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Paris Saint Germain W 5-0 OH Leuven W

Original prediction

Paris Saint Germain W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.1380.9%46.9%-34.0 pts
Draw7.2412.7%22.1%9.4 pts
Away14.366.4%30.9%24.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-34.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Paris Saint Germain W

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Paris Saint Germain W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Paris Saint Germain WDWWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
OH Leuven WDDWDW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Paris Saint Germain WOH Leuven W
77.8Attack73.3
66.7Defence80.0
55.6Form73.3
64.6Power74.4
1.69xG1.82
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