Paris Saint Germain Wvs
Montpellier W
COMPLETEDFrance · Feminine Division 1 · 10/23/2026, 7:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paris Saint Germain W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paris Saint Germain W 1-0 Montpellier W
Original prediction
Paris Saint Germain W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.8% | 51.3% | -22.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.20 | 17.4% | 24.0% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 10.21 | 8.8% | 24.7% | 15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Paris Saint Germain W
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Paris Saint Germain W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80