GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League Women · 9/2/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eintracht Frankfurt W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Paris Saint Germain W 5-1 Eintracht Frankfurt W

Original prediction

Eintracht Frankfurt W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7750.9%35.1%-15.8 pts
Draw3.6025.0%25.4%0.4 pts
Away3.7524.1%39.5%15.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

15.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–19%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Eintracht Frankfurt W

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Eintracht Frankfurt W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Paris Saint Germain WDLWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Eintracht Frankfurt WDDWWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Paris Saint Germain WEintracht Frankfurt W
33.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence88.9
33.3Form77.8
45.3Power81.5
1.50xG2.19
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