GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Super Cup · 8/13/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paris Saint Germain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Paris Saint Germain are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tottenham are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Paris Saint Germain hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the UEFA Super Cup, while Paris Saint Germain holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paris Saint Germain

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Paris Saint Germain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Paris Saint GermainWWWWL

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
TottenhamLDWDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Paris Saint GermainTottenham
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
1.79xG1.14
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