Paris Saint Germainvs
Tottenham
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Super Cup · 8/13/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paris Saint Germain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Paris Saint Germain are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tottenham are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Paris Saint Germain hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the UEFA Super Cup, while Paris Saint Germain holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paris Saint Germain
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Paris Saint Germain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00