Paris Saint Germainvs
Slovan Bratislava
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 9/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paris Saint Germain · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paris Saint Germain 6-1 Slovan Bratislava
Original prediction
Paris Saint Germain
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 92.9% | 48.6% | -44.3 pts |
| Draw | 18.71 | 5.1% | 21.6% | 16.4 pts |
| Away | 48.58 | 2.0% | 29.9% | 27.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-44.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Paris Saint Germain
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Paris Saint Germain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20