Paris Saint Germainvs
Marseille
COMPLETEDFrance · Trophée des Champions · 1/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paris Saint Germain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Paris Saint Germain are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Marseille are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Trophée des Champions, while Paris Saint Germain holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paris Saint Germain
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Paris Saint Germain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40