GGOALVIO

France · Trophée des Champions · 1/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paris Saint Germain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Paris Saint Germain are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Marseille are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Trophée des Champions, while Paris Saint Germain holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paris Saint Germain

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Paris Saint Germain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Paris Saint GermainWWDWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MarseilleLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Paris Saint GermainMarseille
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
2.24xG1.91
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