UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain
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Paris Saint Germain leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Paris Saint Germain head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at Puskas Arena in mixed form (D), while Arsenal arrive in mixed form (D). Paris Saint Germain have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Arsenal over 1 games.
Both sides are defensively strong — Paris Saint Germain (66/100) and Arsenal (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.
Paris Saint Germain have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Arsenal have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.
Paris Saint Germain have generated 1.72 xG per game recently while conceding 0.51 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Arsenal have generated 0.51 xG per game recently while conceding 1.72 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Paris Saint Germain to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Paris Saint Germain 5061%, Draw 2281%, Arsenal 2658%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Head to head
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Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal?
GoalVio's model predicts Paris Saint Germain to win with 51% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.