Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Paris FC are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Caen are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DWLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.3 against 53.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Ligue 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75