GGOALVIO

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · 9/3/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paredes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Paredes are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Valadares Gaia are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Paredes hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 35.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B, while Paredes holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paredes

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

61.6%

Paredes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ParedesLD

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Valadares GaiaDW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
ParedesValadares Gaia
39.7Attack28.2
67.9Defence39.7
44.9Form30.8
51.5Power35.8
1.61xG0.47
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