Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paredes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Paredes 1-0 Leça, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Paredes 1-2 Leça
Original prediction
Paredes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Projected Score
Paredes 1–0 Leça
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Paredes
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Paredes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ParedesWWWWL
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LeçaLDDLW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ParedesLeça
40.5Attack50.0
73.8Defence50.0
46.4Form50.0
54.4Power50.0
1.15xG0.63