Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pardubice · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pardubice 1-0 Zlin, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pardubice 3-0 Zlin
Original prediction
Pardubice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 57.1% | 54.0% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.4% | 25.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.99 | 18.4% | 20.3% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Projected Score
Pardubice 1–0 Zlin
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Pardubice
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Pardubice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PardubiceLWWWW
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ZlinLLDWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PardubiceZlin
30.0Attack26.7
46.7Defence33.3
26.7Form3.3
37.6Power25.1
1.34xG0.75