Pardubicevs
Viktoria Žižkov
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pardubice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pardubice 4-1 Viktoria Žižkov
Original prediction
Pardubice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.2% | 45.9% | -15.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.38 | 20.6% | 24.8% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.95 | 18.2% | 29.3% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Pardubice
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Pardubice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80