Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pardubice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pardubice 1-2 Artis
Original prediction
Pardubice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.9% | 49.1% | -15.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.34 | 21.3% | 24.8% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 6.69 | 13.8% | 26.1% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Pardubice
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Pardubice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PardubiceWLDLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ArtisWLLLD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PardubiceArtis
26.7Attack26.7
33.3Defence20.0
6.7Form6.7
26.2Power21.6
1.55xG1.16