Parceiro Naganovs
Thespakusatsu Gunma
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 8/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parceiro Nagano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parceiro Nagano 1-2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Original prediction
Parceiro Nagano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.0% | 47.6% | 10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.2% | 25.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.9% | 26.7% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Parceiro Nagano
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Parceiro Nagano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00