Parceiro Naganovs
Nara Club
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nara Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parceiro Nagano 0-1 Nara Club
Original prediction
Nara Club
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.2% | 35.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.5% | 26.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.3% | 38.0% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Nara Club
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Nara Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60