Parceiro Naganovs
Mito Hollyhock
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 9/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parceiro Nagano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parceiro Nagano 0-0 Mito Hollyhock
Original prediction
Parceiro Nagano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.51 | 13.9% | 39.9% | 25.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.4% | 24.9% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.40 | 64.7% | 35.2% | -29.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
25.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Parceiro Nagano
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Parceiro Nagano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40