Parceiro Naganovs
FC Ryukyu
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parceiro Nagano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parceiro Nagano 0-1 FC Ryukyu
Original prediction
Parceiro Nagano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.6% | 45.9% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.6% | 26.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 36.8% | 27.9% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Parceiro Nagano
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Parceiro Nagano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60