Parceiro Naganovs
FC Gifu
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gifu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parceiro Nagano 1-0 FC Gifu
Original prediction
FC Gifu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.20 | 21.2% | 22.0% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.2% | 24.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 52.7% | 53.1% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
FC Gifu
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
FC Gifu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Parceiro NaganoDDDLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC GifuLLDWL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Parceiro NaganoFC Gifu
38.9Attack83.3
55.6Defence77.8
44.4Form55.6
49.3Power66.8
0.90xG1.71