World Cup
Paraguay
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Paraguay leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Paraguay head into this in World Cup fixture at Levi's Stadium in mixed form (LDDWL), while Australia arrive in mixed form (DDLW). Paraguay have a 20% win rate across their last 5 matches, compared to 25% for Australia over 4 games.
The model rates Paraguay's attack at 21/100 against a 75/100 Australia defence, and Australia's attack at 25/100 against a 58/100 Paraguay backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Paraguay have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match. Australia have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.
Paraguay have generated 0.35 xG per game recently while conceding 1.68 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Australia have generated 0.22 xG per game recently while conceding 0.65 xG per match.
The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects Paraguay to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Paraguay 3960%, Draw 2940%, Australia 3100%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Head to head
Recent form
Paraguay
Australia
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Paraguay vs Australia?
GoalVio's model predicts Paraguay to win with 42% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Paraguay vs Australia?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Paraguay vs Australia?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Paraguay vs Australia?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.