Paraguari ACvs
Resistencia
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 8/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Resistencia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Paraguari AC 0-0 Resistencia, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Paraguari AC 1-0 Resistencia
Original prediction
Resistencia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 31.8% | 31.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.1% | 30.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.0% | 38.4% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Paraguari AC 0–0 Resistencia
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Resistencia
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Resistencia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60