Paraguari ACvs
Guairena FC
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paraguari AC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Paraguari AC 0-0 Guairena FC, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Paraguari AC 3-1 Guairena FC
Original prediction
Paraguari AC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.5% | 41.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 29.9% | 30.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.5% | 27.5% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Paraguari AC 0–0 Guairena FC
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Paraguari AC
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Paraguari AC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40