Paraguari ACvs
Fernando De La Mora
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paraguari AC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paraguari AC 2-0 Fernando De La Mora
Original prediction
Paraguari AC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 08:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.5% | 47.5% | 15.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.4% | 26.2% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.1% | 26.3% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Paraguari AC
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Paraguari AC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40