Paraguari ACvs
3 de Noviembre
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paraguari AC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paraguari AC 1-0 3 de Noviembre
Original prediction
Paraguari AC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 36.9% | 40.1% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.7% | 28.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.5% | 31.2% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Paraguari AC
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Paraguari AC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40