Paradou ACvs
Teleghma
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paradou AC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paradou AC 2-1 Teleghma
Original prediction
Paradou AC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 11:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 63.7% | 43.9% | -19.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.0% | 28.0% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 6.69 | 13.2% | 28.1% | 14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Paradou AC
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Paradou AC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00