Paradisovs
Young Boys II
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paradiso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 4-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paradiso 2-2 Young Boys II
Original prediction
Paradiso
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 56.5% | 77.5% | 21.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.1% | 12.3% | -9.8 pts |
| Away | 4.16 | 21.4% | 10.2% | -11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.4–08%
Predicted outcome
Paradiso
Probability
77.5%
Model confidence
77.5%
Paradiso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80