Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paradiso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Paradiso are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Delémont are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Paradiso hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the 1. Liga Promotion, while Paradiso holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paradiso
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Paradiso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00