Para Hills Knightsvs
Sturt Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 3/21/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sturt Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Para Hills Knights are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturt Lions hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (11.7 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the South Australia NPL, while Sturt Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sturt Lions
Probability
74.6%
Model confidence
9.6%
Sturt Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80