GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/21/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sturt Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Lowconfidence

Para Hills Knights are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturt Lions hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (11.7 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the South Australia NPL, while Sturt Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sturt Lions

Probability

74.6%

Model confidence

9.6%

Sturt Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Para Hills KnightsLDLLD

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sturt LionsLWWLW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Para Hills KnightsSturt Lions
24.2Attack53.0
0.0Defence45.5
3.0Form40.9
11.7Power46.5
0.96xG2.90
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